Penerapan Metode Triple Exponential Smoothing Pada Sistem Forecasting Penjualan Sarana Produksi PT Mitra Jamur Indonesia

Mohammad, Hidayatullah (2023) Penerapan Metode Triple Exponential Smoothing Pada Sistem Forecasting Penjualan Sarana Produksi PT Mitra Jamur Indonesia. Undergraduate thesis, Politeknik Negeri Jember.

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Abstract

The rapid development of Information Technology (IT) and its collaboration with other fields to improve efficiency and reduce costs in business processes. PT Mi�tra Jamur Indonesia, a company engaged in oyster mushroom development, faces complex challenges that require the integration of IT for enhanced efficiency and profitability. Accurate sales forecasting is essential for collaboration with partner farmers and aligning production with demand. The research aims to develop a web-based information system for sales forecasting using the Triple Exponential Smoothing method. The system enables easy access for PT Mitra Jamur Indone�sia's management and employees, facilitating informed decision-making. The ap�plication of Triple Exponential Smoothing on sales data from 2016 yielded a Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 385285,45 and a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 10.48%. The obtained MAPE falls within the range of 10% - 20%, in�dicating good accuracy in the forecasting results.

Item Type: Thesis (Undergraduate)
Contributors:
ContributionContributorsNIDN/NIDK
Thesis advisorAyuninghemi, RatihNIDN0702088601
Uncontrolled Keywords: Forecasting, Triple Exponential Smoothing, Blackbox Testing
Subjects: 100 - Rumpun Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam (MIPA) > 120 - Matematika > 122 - Statistik
410 - Rumpun Ilmu Teknik > 450 - Teknik Elektro dan Informatika > 458 - Teknik Informatika
410 - Rumpun Ilmu Teknik > 450 - Teknik Elektro dan Informatika > 461 - Sistem Informasi
Divisions: Jurusan Teknologi Informasi > Prodi D4 Teknik Informatika > Tugas Akhir
Depositing User: Mohammad Hidayatullah
Date Deposited: 25 May 2023 00:49
Last Modified: 25 May 2023 00:50
URI: https://sipora.polije.ac.id/id/eprint/23639

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